VAT rate increases and tax capacity: comparative evidence from Central and Eastern Europe with extra-european benchmarks

2026

Closed access Metadata (CSL-JSON)
DOI 10.55871/2072-9847-2026-72-3-206-216
Data confidence 70 medium
How this score is calculated

It is built from checkable properties of the record itself: whether the article has a DOI, how many independent sources confirmed its data, whether the required fields are filled in, and how recent the latest confirmation is. Disagreement between sources and a missing identifier lower it. A value of 80 or above means the record was published without further checking; 60 to 79 means it is published at reduced confidence, with a manual check advisable. A record verified by an editor by hand is never pushed below 90 by a recalculation. This scores our data about the article, not the article itself.

Abstract

The article offers a comprehensive comparative assessment of standard value-added tax (VAT) rate increases overthepastfifteenyearsandevaluatestheirdirecteffectsontaxrevenuepotentialacrossadiverserange of European and non-European economies. In contrast to traditional fiscal approaches that primarily focus on standardelasticitymodels,thisstudydemonstratesthatsustainable,long-termrevenuegrowthisnotensured by a mechanical increase in the nominal tax rate. Instead, fiscal efficiency is achieved through the synergy of continuous transaction control (CTC) systems, the systematic reduction of inefficient tax reliefs, and improved corporate liquidity maintained through predictable, streamlined tax refund mechanisms.The empirical analysis covers the diverse macroeconomic experiences of Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries, the United Kingdom, Japan, and New Zealand, highlighting the varying outcomes of their fiscal reforms.Basedontheseinternationalbenchmarks,thestudyconcludeswithastrategicsetofprioritiesforthe Republic of Kazakhstan. The author emphasizes that rationalizing existing tax exemptions and implementing advanceddigitalizationtoolsaremandatoryprerequisitesthatmustbefullyrealizedbeforeanypotential rate hike is introduced, ensuring that future tax policy adjustments support broader economic stability and administrative transparency.