ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF MILK PRODUCTION DEVELOPMENT IN KAZAKHSTAN

2022

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DOI 10.32014/2022.2518-1467.380
Data confidence 70 medium
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Abstract

Abstract. The article examines the current state and prospects for the development of milk production in the course of statistical dynamics, based on the analysis of mathematical models. It will consider how the privatization process in the country negatively affected dairy farms, as well as the reasons for the decline in milk production. The volume of milk produced by agricultural categories and their share in the total milk production of the country was studied and it was found that the share of the population is 72-75%. On the basis of econometric models of the dynamics and volume of milk production in the country, trend patterns were identified on the computer, so 2023 year prediction parameters are defined. In the development of dairy farming in the country there is a need to establish a new organized innovation-cooperation relationship between farms through contracts. It was analyzed and recommended that the dairy company "FoodMaster-Shymkent" collects dairy products from private farms in rural areas on a contract basis, creates an innovative and cooperative complex, fully processes milk and meets the demand of the population for dairy products in a wide range. Keywords: dairy, innovation, cooperation, innovation-cooperation, organizational innovation, dairy products, dairy processing, innovative products, trend patterns, forecast.