Terminal wealth maximization under drift uncertainty

2024

Closed access Metadata (CSL-JSON)
DOI 10.1080/02331934.2024.2324143
Data confidence 70 medium
How this score is calculated

It is built from checkable properties of the record itself: whether the article has a DOI, how many independent sources confirmed its data, whether the required fields are filled in, and how recent the latest confirmation is. Disagreement between sources and a missing identifier lower it. A value of 80 or above means the record was published without further checking; 60 to 79 means it is published at reduced confidence, with a manual check advisable. A record verified by an editor by hand is never pushed below 90 by a recalculation. This scores our data about the article, not the article itself.

Abstract

We study the portfolio optimization problem of an investor seeking to maximize his terminal wealth. The portfolio is composed of one risky asset, a stock, and one riskless asset, a bond. We assume there is Knightian uncertainty on the stochastic drift term representing the long-term growth rate of the risky asset whose values are not necessarily bounded. We further assume that the investor has a prior estimate about the drift term and quantifies the diffidence of the investor in his prior about the mean. It is assumed that the investor has a logarithmic or power utility. Explicit solutions with unbounded, stochastic and uncertain drift terms have been retrieved. Numerical illustrations revealing the effect of risk awareness and uncertainty on the value function and optimal parameters are also presented.