Machine Learning Reveals Distinct Phenotypic Virulence Clusters in Candida Isolates Recovered from the Nasopharynx of COVID-19 Convalescents

Journal of Fungi, 2026

Full text Open access: Gold Metadata (CSL-JSON)
DOI 10.3390/jof12100711
Data confidence 70 medium
How this score is calculated

It is built from checkable properties of the record itself: whether the article has a DOI, how many independent sources confirmed its data, whether the required fields are filled in, and how recent the latest confirmation is. Disagreement between sources and a missing identifier lower it. A value of 80 or above means the record was published without further checking; 60 to 79 means it is published at reduced confidence, with a manual check advisable. A record verified by an editor by hand is never pushed below 90 by a recalculation. This scores our data about the article, not the article itself.

Abstract

Background: Candida spp. are opportunistic fungi whose pathogenic potential arises from interactions among multiple phenotypic traits that may not be captured by conventional single-factor analyses. This study aimed to identify multidimensional phenotypic virulence profiles among clinical Candida isolates using unsupervised machine learning. Methods: A total of 107 nasopharyngeal isolates recovered from COVID-19 convalescent patients in Almaty, Kazakhstan, during 2021–2022 were evaluated for biofilm formation, phospholipase, proteinase, hemolytic activities and susceptibility to fluconazole, voriconazole, itraconazole, and amphotericin B. Phenotypic data were analyzed using principal component analysis, Uniform Manifold Approximation and Projection, hierarchical clustering, permutational multivariate analysis of variance (PERMANOVA), Random Forest, and SHAP analysis. Results: Candida albicans predominated among the isolates (69.2%), and non-albicans Candida species accounted for 30.8%. Interspecies differences were observed in biofilm formation (p = 0.048) and itraconazole minimum inhibitory concentrations (p < 0.001). Three phenotypic clusters independent of species were identified (PERMANOVA: pseudo-F = 6.72, p = 0.0002). Across 20 repeated 5-fold cross-validation runs, the Random Forest model achieved an aggregated accuracy of 0.785, a mean balanced accuracy of 0.518 (95% CI: 0.461–0.577), and a macro-F1 score of 0.504 (95% CI: 0.444–0.559). SHAP identified itraconazole susceptibility, biofilm formation, and phospholipase activity as the strongest predictors. Conclusions: These findings demonstrate that integrating microbiological phenotyping with machine learning can reveal multidimensional virulence profiles beyond conventional species-based classification.