Abstract
Corporate social responsibility (CSR) is increasingly expected to fill welfare gaps in rural communities, especially in transition economies where firms often provide schools, healthcare, infrastructure, and other quasi-public goods. If CSR improves rural living con-ditions, it should, in principle, help retain population. Yet migration theory suggests a more ambiguous possibility: development may not only reduce deprivation but also ex-pand the aspirations and capabilities that make mobility feasible. This study examines this paradox using district-level data from eight rural districts in Kazakhstan’s Akmola region from 2010 to 2021. Applying Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling, we estimate how CSR, amenities, agricultural structure, and economic vitality shape net migration. The results show that CSR substantially improves local amenities, but ameni-ties alone do not generate a strong retention effect. Economic vitality remains the central driver of migration outcomes, while agricultural development has limited demographic effects. These findings suggest that CSR can improve rural welfare without necessarily preventing outmigration. In transition economies, corporate-led development may there-fore operate less as a demographic anchor than as part of a broader process through which rural residents become more capable of pursuing opportunities elsewhere.