Who Speaks, Who Leads: Decomposing Gender Effects in Foreign Policy Rhetoric at the UNGA

2026

Full text Open access: Gold Metadata (CSL-JSON)
DOI 10.33774/apsa-2026-sjnzg
Data confidence 70 medium
How this score is calculated

It is built from checkable properties of the record itself: whether the article has a DOI, how many independent sources confirmed its data, whether the required fields are filled in, and how recent the latest confirmation is. Disagreement between sources and a missing identifier lower it. A value of 80 or above means the record was published without further checking; 60 to 79 means it is published at reduced confidence, with a manual check advisable. A record verified by an editor by hand is never pushed below 90 by a recalculation. This scores our data about the article, not the article itself.

Abstract

Does the gender of state leaders shape foreign policy rhetoric? We examine UN General Assembly General Debate speeches (1970-2025) through Latent Semantic Scaling to decompose the gender of the chief executive from that of the speaker at the podium, a distinction votes do not allow. The results imply that gender plays different roles at different levels. In recent decades, among democracies, women who deliver speeches are less hawkish than men, but countries led by women deliver more hawkish speeches. A woman leader's hawkishness is thus masked when she speaks for herself, surfacing only when a male delegate speaks in her place. Neither pattern appears in autocracies. These findings reconcile conflicting claims about women’s peacefulness versus hawkishness in foreign policy.