Evaluation of explainable machine learning techniques for CO2 minimum miscibility pressure determination in a vast range of temperatures and compositions

International Journal of Coal Science & Technology, 2026

Full text Open access: Gold Metadata (CSL-JSON)
DOI 10.1007/s40789-026-00908-3
Data confidence 70 medium
How this score is calculated

It is built from checkable properties of the record itself: whether the article has a DOI, how many independent sources confirmed its data, whether the required fields are filled in, and how recent the latest confirmation is. Disagreement between sources and a missing identifier lower it. A value of 80 or above means the record was published without further checking; 60 to 79 means it is published at reduced confidence, with a manual check advisable. A record verified by an editor by hand is never pushed below 90 by a recalculation. This scores our data about the article, not the article itself.

Abstract

Abstract Precise estimation of minimum miscibility pressure (MMP) is advantageous for CO 2 -based EOR applications and CO 2 capture, sequestration and utilization. However, experimental methods, including slim tube tests, are costly and time-consuming. In addition, conventional empirical correlations generally have a limited range of applicability. Hence, in this research, four types of databased machine learning techniques, namely categorical boosting, extreme gradient boosting, group method of data handling (GMDH) and genetic programming (GP), were used for MMP estimation. To train the model, a dataset with more than 910 rows of data and multiple features, including molecular weight of light, CO 2 stream impurities, intermediate and heavy hydrocarbon components, as well as mole fractions of different elements, was fed to the models. All the models could accurately predict the MMP in various conditions with R 2 of 0.89–0.99. Among all methods, XGBoost had the highest accuracy, and GP had the lowest. To shed some light on the models' performance, sensitivity analysis and feature importance were performed for the proposed models, and the most impactful features were identified in each model. During the final phase of the research, the model's effectiveness and applicability were compared to four well-established MMP correlations from the literature. The developed model in the current research performed substantially better (up to 35 %). The vast datasets used in this study resulted in models with a much broader range of applicability than most previous experimental and empirical methods.