Spatio-Temporal Assessment of Heavy Metal Contamination and Vegetation Condition at a Closed Municipal Solid Waste Landfill in Kokshetau (Kazakhstan)

2026

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DOI 10.3390/environments13060294
Data confidence 70 medium
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Abstract

Municipal solid waste landfills may remain sources of environmental concern long after closure because heavy metals can persist in soils and affect ecosystem recovery. This study presents an integrated assessment of a closed municipal solid waste landfill in Kokshetau, Northern Kazakhstan, by combining field-based soil geochemical analysis with remote sensing monitoring of vegetation dynamics. A radial-gradient sampling design was used to characterize spatial patterns of contamination and to distinguish zones with different levels of anthropogenic impact. The results showed a clear concentration of heavy metals, particularly Zn and Pb, in the central part of the landfill, where integrated pollution and ecological risk indices indicated the highest levels of technogenic pressure. Time-series analysis of Landsat-derived vegetation indices for 2017–2025 revealed poorer vegetation condition in the most contaminated areas, with NDVI and EVI values increasing toward the landfill periphery. The observed negative association between vegetation indices and ecological risk suggests that remote sensing indicators can provide useful information on the ecological condition of closed landfill sites, although they should be interpreted together with field measurements. The novelty of this study lies in the combined use of geochemical contamination indices and long-term vegetation-index monitoring to assess post-closure landfill conditions in an arid continental region of Central Asia, where such integrated studies remain limited. The findings highlight the persistence of environmental risks after landfill closure and support the use of vegetation indices as non-invasive tools for monitoring rehabilitation and prioritizing further field investigations.