Abstract
Abstract The paper presents a systematic multi-level analysis of the historical dynamics and cause-and-effect relationships of production indicators of the functioning of mining enterprises of the Kryvyi Rih Iron Ore Basin, taking into account the influence of external market and logistical factors. The dynamics of key production indicators - actual productivity, overburden ratio, production cost and quality of marketable products - over a multi-year horizon was studied, their normalization and comparative assessment between enterprises were performed. Significant variability of productivity and overburden ratio was established, due to technological, organizational and market constraints. It is shown that traditional deterministic plans do not take into account geological uncertainty and fluctuations in market prices, which reduces the efficiency of open-pit mining. Based on the analysis, the integration of adaptive stochastic planning models was proposed, which provide dynamic adjustment of plans in response to changes in external conditions and actual production data. The results of the study allow for a formal assessment of risks, increase the operational efficiency of open-pits, and plan investments in overburden operations, which is critically important for technological foresight of the development of the Kryvbas mining cluster and scaling to other regional production systems.