Real unemployment in Kazakhstan: an analysis based on international methodologies

2025

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DOI 10.15862/67ecvn525
Data confidence 70 medium
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Abstract

The article examines the issue of the incomplete reflection of the real situation in the labor market of the Republic of Kazakhstan by official statistics. The authors present a comparative analysis of alternative unemployment indicators used in the United States and Canada, and adapt the methodologies of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and Statistics Canada to the socio-economic conditions of Kazakhstan. The study provides a detailed description of extended indicators that include the long-term unemployed, discouraged workers, and individuals employed part-time for economic reasons. Based on data from the Bureau of National Statistics of Kazakhstan, the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the National Statistical Office of Canada, the authors calculated alternative unemployment rates, which made it possible to identify the extent of hidden underutilization of labor resources. The article demonstrates that, despite the comparability of the official unemployment rate with that of developed countries, Kazakhstan is characterized by higher values of extended indicators, reflecting structural and institutional problems in the labor market. The authors analyzed the dynamics of hidden unemployment for the period 2017–2023 and found its decrease from 3,4 % to 2,7 %, indicating a gradual recovery of employment after economic shocks. At the same time, regional disparities and the persistent share of temporarily underemployed workers highlight the uneven development of the labor market. The obtained results emphasize the need to improve the employment monitoring system, expand statistical accounting, and develop measures aimed at increasing the involvement of the economically inactive population in labor activity.