Abstract
A brief analysis of the situation is presented, which reflects the current state of the dynamics of key macroindicators in the North Kazakhstan region over the past eighteen years and their forecast is made. The emphasis is placed on the need to model the influence of various factors on the value of the GRP of the region, which is one of the main driving forces influencing the sustainable development of the region in modern conditions. Based on the analysis of the conceptual apparatus and the study of scientific literature, approaches to the analysis and modeling of socioeconomic processes in the field of agriculture are presented. The information on the dynamics of selected exogenous and endogenous factors is given, the rationale for the use of which is obtained on the basis of the study of scientific and methodological literature on modeling processes and their forecasting in modern macroeconomics. In particular, these factors include investments in fixed assets of agriculture, the number of agricultural employees, labor productivity in agriculture, the acreage of oilseeds, wages of agricultural employees and GRP of the North Kazakhstan region. In the course of applied research, predictive trend models for endogenous variables were determined, the results of which were subjected to statistical verification for adequacy and accuracy. The author's proposals have been formulated and supplemented, the implementation of which is aimed at ensuring the possibility of including the results obtained in the relevant plans and strategies, the purpose of which is the effective socio-economic development of the region