ADAPTIVE ALLOCATION OF REGIONAL BUDGET USING DYNAMIC PROGRAMMING AND GENETIC ALGORITHM

2025

Full text Open access: Hybrid Metadata (CSL-JSON)
DOI 10.58805/kazutb.v.3.28-1155
Data confidence 70 medium
How this score is calculated

It is built from checkable properties of the record itself: whether the article has a DOI, how many independent sources confirmed its data, whether the required fields are filled in, and how recent the latest confirmation is. Disagreement between sources and a missing identifier lower it. A value of 80 or above means the record was published without further checking; 60 to 79 means it is published at reduced confidence, with a manual check advisable. A record verified by an editor by hand is never pushed below 90 by a recalculation. This scores our data about the article, not the article itself.

Abstract

The optimal regional budget allocation problem is examined in this article, with consideration given to public opinion, strategic priorities, ROI, and long-term sustainability. A mathematical model with two tiers is suggested, with the first tier overseeing the transfer of budget across districts and the second tier managing distribution among sectors within districts. Genetic algorithms (GA) and dynamic programming (DP) are used for optimization. Data from Kazakhstan's Almaty region for the years 2022–2024 were used to evaluate the model. Five criteria - utility, inter-district discrepancy, deviation from strategic goals, stability, and computation time were used to conduct a comparative analysis. Although DP achieves the maximum total utility (up to 114.84 conventional units), it also deviates from strategic shares by up to 1.58 and has an inter-district difference of up to 1.25×10¹¹ tenge. GA, on the other hand, offers nearly perfect alignment with strategic goals (deviation of 0.03) and 2.5 times smaller disparity, although having lower utility (on average, 4–5% below DP). GA is five times faster than DP, with a constant computation time of 56 seconds. While DP is appropriate for long-term forecasting scenarios, the acquired results validate the applicability of GA in actual digital public administration situations. The created approach can be applied to participatory budgeting and decision support systems.