Abstract
The agricultural sector of the country's economy is one of the key growth areas, an element of expanding the export potential that ensures the food and social security of the nation. The assessment of the probability and degree of threats in the organization of agricultural product exports is an important research direction. Organizing the export of agricultural products from Kazakhstan requires consideration of the region's infrastructure features, as well as its legal and economic aspects. Key elements in export organization include the specific sequence of preparing necessary permits at each stage of the export process. The issue related to ensuring the safety of enterprise operations in the export sector requires identifying and considering existing threats. The research is based on the following scientific methods: generalization, analysis, synthesis, and expert evaluation. The analysis is based on statistical data from 2021 to 2023. The goal of the research is to summarize significant criteria for assessing the probability and degree of threats in the organization of agricultural product exports. The study identifies key stages and procedures for export organization, and based on expert evaluation, generalizes indicators for assessing threats. Measurable values of indicators are developed and proposed, which will enable enterprises to evaluate and monitor the probability and severity of threats during the stages of the export process.