Type-Temporal-Spatial Coupling and the Evolution of Pastoral Wisdom on the Tibetan Plateau: From System Coupling to Periodic Intelligent Intervention

2026

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DOI 10.1016/j.farsys.2026.100257
Достоверность данных 70 средняя
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Аннотация

: Seasonal forage scarcity and the resulting grassland-livestock imbalance severely constrain the sustainable development of animal husbandry on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP). In response, we propose a conceptual ‘Type-Temporal-Spatial’ coupling framework to systematically optimize forage supply structures, operationalized through two engineering approaches: the “Crop-Livestock” Engineering (temporal coupling) and the “Agriculture-Grassland-Assisted Livestock Engineering” Engineering (spatial coupling). To contextualize this framework, we construct a heuristic ‘ideal-type’ sequence tracing the evolutionary trajectory of “Pasture Wisdom”—from traditional nomadism (Wisdom A) to rotational grazing (Wisdom B), system coupling (Wisdom C), digital intelligent ranching (Wisdom D), and periodic intelligent intervention (Wisdom E). We clarify that this sequence serves as a conceptual framework for analyzing management paradigm shifts, rather than a deterministic historical trajectory. Our analysis reveals that while System Coupling (Wisdom C) effectively balances regional supply and demand, it relies heavily on external material inputs, may lead to considerable energy dissipation. In contrast, the Intelligent Ranch mode (Wisdom D) offers a pathway to “internal integration” through precise digital management. However, due to ecological, infrastructural, and socio-technical lags, a complete transition to Wisdom D is not immediately feasible; thus, the system will remain in a long-term transitional phase characterized by the symbiosis of Wisdom C and D. Finally, we propose a vision of “Periodic Intelligent Intervention” (Wisdom E). In this paradigm, technology acts as a temporary external stabilizer, intervening cyclically to reduce ecosystem disorder or degradation risk when illustrative degradation thresholds (e.g., NDVI drops) are breached, and withdrawing to allow natural resilience to govern upon recovery. It should be emphasized that this process does not represent a universal, linear path of development. Different pastoral areas may remain at the same stage for extended periods or may combine multiple stages simultaneously. This framework provides a conceptual basis for achieving a low-dissipation, efficient, and sustainable pastoral ecosystem on the QTP.