Аннотация
This study presents a risk assessment of asphaltene–resin–paraffin deposition (ARPD) in the producing formations of the XIII reservoir unit of the Uzen oil field at a late stage of development. The crude oil is characterized by an extremely high paraffin (wax) content of up to 29 wt.%. Long-term operation of the reservoir pressure maintenance (RPM) system with cold water injection has resulted in significant reservoir cooling, with temperatures declining from the initial 60–65 °C to 20–30 °C in zones of intensive waterflooding. To refine the critical phase transition temperatures of paraffin components, a dynamic laboratory approach was applied using a Wax Flow Loop system, which simulates wax deposition processes under flowing conditions. The results indicate that the wax appearance temperature (WAT) ranges from 41.0 to 44.0 °C, significantly exceeding the current bottomhole temperatures in the cooled zones of the reservoir. Intensive bulk crystallization of paraffins occurs within the temperature interval of 33.5–35.0 °C, while loss of oil flowability is observed at 25–34 °C, corresponding to the gelation and structural network formation of wax crystals under reduced thermal conditions. The obtained results confirm the inevitability of bulk oil structuring and solid wax phase precipitation directly within the reservoir porous medium. This process leads to blockage of low-permeability interlayers, deterioration of filtration properties, and a reduction in the displacement efficiency factor by 20–35%. Under the current thermal regime, ARPD should therefore be considered not merely as an operational flow assurance issue, but as a systemic factor limiting reservoir development efficiency. The research results substantiate the need to transition from reactive ARPD removal methods to proactive management of the thermal regime of the reservoir and wells, as well as to the differentiated application of thermal and chemical treatment methods.